摘要:当今世界已经进入了经济全球化的时代,随着金融全球化程度的不断加深,中国资本项目的全面开放将是必然的。人民币资本项目的开放一方面将会给我国的贸易带来新的机遇,另一方面,作为发展中国家的我国,人民币资本项目的开放又将会给我国经济带来不容忽视的风险,短期资本流入的风险,资本外逃的风险,信用膨胀,金融机构管理难度加大的风险等。
面对上述情况,本文在资本项目开放对我国整体经济影响的大环境下,通过研究人民币汇率变动给我国外贸带来的风险,联系我国发展的实际情况,有针对性地提出了有效规避我国外贸风险的对策和建议,即完成相关配套改革、防范外来冲击、加强金融监管、优化出口产品结构、提高抗御风险能力等,从而进一步推动我国对外贸易更加快速、稳定、健康地发展。
关键词:资本项目开放;对外贸易;汇率;风险
Abstract:Today the world has entered the era of economic globalization, with the development of financial globalization, China capital account opening will be the inevitable. On the one hand, the RMB capital project open will give our trade a new opportunity, on the other hand, as the developing of our country, the RMB capital project open will bring the risk to our country, apparently, these risk is not allowed to be ignored, the risk of short-term capital flows, capital flight risk, credit expansion, financial institutions management difficulty to increase risk.
Under such circumstances, this article is based on the environment of the opening of the capital projects impact on China's overall economic, through the study of risk of the change of RMB exchange rate bring to our country's foreign trade, contact China's development of the actual situation, proposed our country foreign trade risk effectively circumvent the countermeasure and the suggestion, to complete the reform of relevant form a complete set, guard against external impact, strengthen financial supervision, optimize exit product structure, improve the capacity to resist risks, thus further promoting China's foreign trade is fast, stable, healthy development.
Key words: Opening of the capital; foreign trade; exchange rate; risk