重庆轻轨建设对GDP水平影响的实证分析.doc

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摘要:重庆轻轨建设投资从发展初期开始,至今已经投资建设了四条轨道交通线路。在对近期的规划中又将投资建设五条轨道交通线路,远期规划将投资建设十三条轨道交通线路。大面积的,大范围的投资,使重庆轻轨建设发展前景良好,而重庆轻轨建设投资的规划和实现又将为以重庆轻轨建设为核心的,服务业、建筑业、商贸业、旅游业、餐饮业等行业提供更多的发展机会和动力,从而进一步带动重庆经济发展以及产业实力的提高。

   本文主要研究重庆轻轨建设对重庆GDP水平的影响,通过对重庆轻轨交通近年来的投资数据以及重庆GDP经济增长数据和具体行业数据的分析,利用计量经济学相关模型和Eviews 软件,经研究发现,重庆轻轨建设投资对服务业、建筑业、商贸业、旅游业、餐饮业的经济增长影响显著,进而对重庆GDP水平影响也显著。但自相关不够明显,问题在于重庆轻轨建设投资在某些方面的不重视。因此根据实证分析结论,本文提出从经济、法律、文化、创新、设施等方面加以改善和提高的相关建议,使重庆轻轨建设投资对经济促进的作用更明显,对重庆GDP水平影响更有说服力。

关键词:重庆轻轨建设投资  经济发展  GDP  实证分析 

 

ABSTRACT:Chongqing light rail construction investment started from the early stages of development, has invested in the construction of four rail transit lines. In the recent planning and investment in the construction of five rail transit lines, long-term planning to invest in the construction of thirteen rail transit lines. Large area, large range of investment, so that the light rail construction in Chongqing good development prospects, and Realization of Chongqing light rail construction investment plan will be in Chongqing light rail construction as core, service industry, construction industry, commerce, tourism, catering and other industries to provide more opportunities for development and power, so as to further drive Chongqing economic development and the industrial strength.

   This paper mainly studies the influence of Chongqing light rail construction to Chongqing GDP level, the investment data of Chongqing light rail traffic in recent years and analysis of Chongqing GDP economic growth data and specific industry data, using econometric models and Eviews software, the study found, Chongqing light rail construction investment in the service industry, construction industry, trade industry, tourism, catering industry economic growth has significant influence on Chongqing, and GDP level significantly. But since the correlation is not obvious, the problem lies in the Chongqing light rail construction investment value not in some way. Therefore, according to the conclusions of empirical analysis, and puts forward related suggestions to improve from the aspects of economy, law, culture, innovation, facilities in this paper, the Chongqing light rail construction investment to economic role more obvious influence on Chongqing GDP level, more convincing.

Keywords:Chongqing rail transit investment;economic development;GDP;The empirical analysis